The 2027 contests have ended.
Winner notifications are in progress.
2027 Contest Results Update
The B.A.A. announced a qualifying cut-off time of 5:17 for the 2027 Boston Marathon. We had 10 people correctly predict 5:17 in the main contest and 6 people correctly predict 5:17 in the Second Chance Contest.
We are in the process of notifying the winners. Because multiple entrants correctly predicted the cut-off time, the winners are being determined using the contest tie-breaker: who came closest to predicting the number of qualified applicants who would not be accepted. The actual number was 8,019.
How close was the running community?
The average cut-off prediction from the main contest was 5:06 — just 11 seconds from the actual 5:17 cut-off. The average prediction in the Second Chance Contest was 5:04, only 13 seconds away.
Last year, the average of all predictions was an incredible 1 second from the eventual 2026 cut-off time of 4:34.
We'll have more announcements soon about the contest winners and Boston Marathon qualifying.
Thank you to everyone who participated in this year's Boston Qualifying Cut-off Time Prediction Contests. Final winner announcements will be posted after the tie-breakers are completed and winners are notified.
To help you out with your prediction, we've compiled some statistics on Boston qualifying:
Second Chance Contest Prize
Winner
$25 USD Digital Visa Gift Card
Contest Closed — Winner Notification in Progress